We recently launched Vertex AI to help you move machine learning (ML) from experimentation into production faster and manage your models with confidence—speeding up your ability to improve outcomes at your organization.

But we know many of you are just getting started with ML and there’s a lot to learn! In tandem with building the Vertex AI platform, our teams are dropping as much best practices content as we can to help you come up to speed. Plus, we have a dedicated event on June 10th, Applied ML Summit, with sessions on how to apply ML technology in your projects, as well as grow your skills in this field. 

In the meantime, we couldn’t resist a quick lesson on hyperparameter tuning, because (a) it’s incredibly cool (b) you will impress your coworkers (c) Google Cloud has some unique battle tested tech in this area and (d) you will save time by getting better ML models into production faster. Vertex Vizier, on average, finds optimal parameters for complex functions in over 80% fewer trials than traditional methods. 

So it’s incredibly cool, but what is it?

While machine learning models automatically learn from data, they still require user-defined knobs which guide the learning process. These knobs, commonly known as hyperparameters, control, for example, the tradeoff between training accuracy and generalizability.  Examples of hyperparameters are the optimizer being used, its learning rate, regularization parameters, the number of hidden layers in a DNN, and their sizes.

Setting hyperparameters to their optimal values for a given dataset can make a huge difference in model quality. Typically, optimal hyperparameter values are found via grid searching a small number of combinations, or tedious manual experimentation. Hyperparameter tuning automates this work for you by searching for the best configuration of hyperparameters for optimal model performance. 

Vertex Vizier enables automated hyperparameter tuning in several ways:

1. “Traditional” hyperparameter tuning: by this we mean finding the optimal value of hyperparameters by measuring a single objective metric which is the output of an ML model.  For example, Vizier selects the number of hidden layers and their sizes, an optimizer and its learning rate, with the goal of maximizing model accuracy.
2. When hyperparameters are evaluated, models are trained and evaluated on splits of the data set. If evaluation metrics are streamed to Vizier (e.g. as a function of epoch) as the model is trained, Vizier’s early stopping algorithms can predict the final objective value, and recommend which unpromising trials should be early stopped. This conserves compute resources and speeds up convergence.
3. Oftentimes, models are tuned sequentially on different data sets. Vizier’s built in transfer learning learns priors from previous hyperparameter tuning studies, and leverages them to converge faster on subsequent hyperparameter tuning studies.
4. AutoML is a variant of #1, where Vertex Vizier performs both model selection, and also tunes architectures/non-architecture modifying hyperparameters. AutoML usually requires more code on top of Vertex Vizier (to ingest data etc), but Vizier is in most cases the “engine” behind the process. AutoML is implemented by defining a tree like (DAG) search space, rather than a “flat” search space (like in #1). Note that you can use DAG search spaces for any other purpose where searching over a hierarchical space makes sense.
5. There are times when you may wish to optimize more than one metric. For example, we would like to optimize model accuracy, while minimizing model latency. Vizier can find the Pareto frontier, which presents tradeoffs for multiple metrics, allowing users to choose the appropriate tradeoff. Simple example: I want to make a more accurate model, but would like to minimize serving latency. I do not know ahead of time what’s the tradeoff between the two metrics. Vizier can be used to explore and plot a tradeoff curve, so users can select on the most appropriate one. For example, “a latency decrease of 200ms will only decrease accuracy by 0.5%”

Google Vizier is all yours with Vertex AI

Google published the Vizier research paper in 2017, sharing our work and use cases for black-box optimization—i.e. The process of finding the best settings for a bunch of parameters or knobs when you can’t peer inside a system to see how well the knobs are working. The paper discusses our requirements, infrastructure design, underlying algorithms, and advanced features such as transfer learning that the service provides. Vizier has been essential to our progress with machine learning at Google, which is why we are so excited to make it available to you on Vertex AI.

Vizier has already tuned millions of ML models at Google, and its algorithms are continuously improved for faster convergence and handling of real-life edge cases. Vertex Vizier’s models are very well calibrated and are self-tuning (they adapt to user data), and offer unique power features, such as hierarchical search spaces and multi-objective optimization. We believe Vertex Vizier’s set of features is a unique capability to Google Cloud, and look forward to optimizing the quality of your models by automatically tuning hyperparameters for you.

To learn more about Vertex Vizier, check out these docs and if you are interested in what’s coming in machine learning over the next five years, tune in to our Applied ML Summit on June 10th, or watch the sessions on demand in your own time.

While some traditional financial services companies have more slowly transitioned to the cloud, capital markets firms have embraced cloud computing across their entire value chains — front-, middle-, and back-office. We wanted to understand the dynamics behind this rapid adoption, the most common use cases, and the types of technology most in use, particularly as it relates to market data. Google Cloud commissioned Coalition Greenwich to survey 102 institutional capital markets professionals — at exchanges, trading systems, data aggregators, data producers, asset managers, hedge funds, and investment banks — in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. 

Our research found that while there are many drivers, demand for easier accessibility is fueling widespread adoption of cloud-based market data services, and associated trading infrastructures, across the buy side and sell side. In fact, 68% of sell-side and buy-side users find it critical for market data providers to offer public cloud-based data services. At the same time, exchanges, market data providers, aggregators, and trading systems are embracing the cloud as a delivery model by offering access to data directly via their own cloud services, APIs or partners.

Here were five noteworthy takeaways from the study: 

1. Cloud services are becoming ubiquitous for data delivery. Today, the cloud is pervasive, with 93% of exchanges, trading systems and data providers offering cloud-based data and services, according to surveyed executives. Moreover, 100% of those surveyed intend to offer new cloud-based services, such as derived data, in the next 12 months.

2. Commercial and investment banks are offering additional connectivity, real-time data feeds, and trading applications delivered via the cloud,demonstrating that it’s not only exchanges, trading systems, and data providers that are moving rapidly to the cloud. Internal use cases abound as well, with 67% of those surveyed consuming cloud-deployed market data, primarily for data analytics. 88% of surveyed sell-side firms intend to consume cloud-based market data services, with digital transformation, data science and quant research as the top use cases.

3. Buy side firms will consume even more cloud-deployed data. Today, 90% of surveyed buy-side firms are consuming cloud-deployed market data, mostly for portfolio management. 70% of buy-side firms intend to consume more public cloud-based market data services in the next 12 months, adding services such as compliance and regulatory reporting.

4. AI/ML, powered by cloud, is moving out of the pilot phase and into mainstream use. Today, 50% of exchanges, trading systems, and data providers are offering data products or services powered by AI/ML, and of those, 42% intend to offer AI-powered trade execution and trading analytics services in the next 12 months. Within commercial and investment banks, 55% said they are currently using AI/ML in the cloud, and while that was true for only 14% of overall buy-side respondents, 44% of large buy-side respondents are using it.

5. Exchanges, trading systems, and data providers are prioritizing public cloud for internal insights. 71% of these firms are using the public cloud, mostly for data transmission, processing, analysis, and long-term data storage. Over the next 12 months, 33% of new public cloud workloads will focus on data mining, data insights and advanced analytics, while 28% of new AI/ML tooling and infrastructure investments will focus on faster analytics and risk reviews, and 27% on data quality maintenance.

“We see new, dramatic shifts on the adoption of cloud across market data,” said David Easthope, Senior Analyst for Coalition Greenwich. “And we expect further proliferation of cloud-based services and greater consumption across the trading and investing lifecycle.”

Conclusions and future predictions

Based on the survey results, Coalition Greenwich predicts five following trends over the next 12 months:

1. Exchanges and trading systems will continue to launch a wide array of new cloud-based and possibly cloud exclusive data services across derived data, end of day data, reference data and pricing data.
2. Data providers will launch new data products such as pre-trade analytics powered by AI/ML in the cloud.
3. Commercial and investment banks will offer additional connectivity, real-time data feeds, and trading applications delivered via the cloud.
4. Buy-side firms will consume even more cloud-deployed data, including real-time market data, portfolio management data, and risk analytics.
5. Exchanges, trading systems and data providers will explore proof-of-concepts around core systems on the cloud. Improvements to AI/ML tooling or infrastructure will ramp up as firms seek more rapid responses to risk initiatives.

To learn more about these findings, download our two full reports, The Future of market data: Distribution and consumption through cloud and AI and Exchanges and data providers: Prioritizing the cloud and AI for internal insights or our short infographic.

Research methodology

The survey was conducted online by Coalition Greenwich on behalf of Google Cloud from March 2021 to April 2021 among 102 executives in North America (n=82), EMEA (n=17) and other (n=3) who are employed full-time and who are participants or influencers in decisions around cloud and/or senior management with a role at a company which is an institutional asset manager, hedge fund, alternative investment manager, exchange and/or trading system, information provider, information aggregator, or other asset manager/asset owner. The survey included wide perspectives from a range of firm size and asset class focus, including equity, fixed income, FX, commodities, multi-asset, and other asset classes.

Foot Notes

1.  We defined market data as direct feeds, consolidated feeds, terminal and desktop products, security and reference data, pricing data, historical data, alternative data, and index data.

For a business to succeed in the long term, it needs to learn not just to adapt to inevitable change, but to harness it. South Africa-based PPS has been an insurance company since 1941 and today is the biggest mutual insurance provider in the country.

As a mutual company, PPS is owned by more than 200,000 members, making them shareholders. In recent years, PPS and other companies like it have been affected by a number of external factors.

“For one thing, technology platforms have brought in a new gig economy that has all kinds of implications for insurance,” says Avsharn Bachoo, CTO at PPS. “What we’ve been seeing is basically a disruption of the South African insurance industry. We chose to see that as an opportunity.”

“Our servers were at the end of their life cycle and we had to decide whether to refresh them or switch completely. To embrace the world of AI and machine learning effectively, we knew we needed a cloud-based infrastructure. We’ve found the answer in Google Cloud Platform.”

—Avsharn Bachoo, CTO, PPS

In early 2018, faced with an uncertain economic environment that was squeezing growth and profitability, PPS decided to transform itself from a traditional broker-based business into a digital insurance provider. A key pillar of this new strategy was to overhaul the company’s technology infrastructure. To turn the strategy into reality, Avsharn and his team chose Google Cloud Platform (GCP).

“Our servers were at the end of their life cycle and we had to decide whether to refresh them or switch completely,” says Avsharn. “To embrace the world of AI and machine learning (ML) effectively, we knew we needed a cloud-based infrastructure. We’ve found the answer in Google Cloud Platform.”

Power, speed, flexibility with Google Cloud Platform

Previously, PPS maintained an on-premises IT infrastructure, which worked for its traditional business but was unsuited for its new way of working. In early 2018, the company started working on new products for its members but this required large amounts of compute power that proved prohibitively expensive with on-premises servers. Even existing products were starting to require more than the infrastructure could deliver. Aging equipment meant that it’s testing and quality assurance environments bore little resemblance to the actual production environment.

“We had no pre-production environments at all,” says Avsharn, resulting in more work for developers after products had been released. Meanwhile, the capital required to buy and configure more servers for new projects meant fewer resources available for innovation, and left the company less able to react to changes in the market. PPS knew it had to find a cloud-based alternative.

Shortly after devising a new digital strategy, PPS engineers attended a training session on cloud infrastructure given by leading South African Google Cloud Partner Siatik. Impressed with the presentation, PPS engaged Siatik to help run a proof of concept for a cloud-based infrastructure, running on GCP. With on-site engineers and constant communication, Siatik formed a very close working relationship with PPS. “The team at Siatik was exemplary,” recalls Avsharn. “They were well-organized, with cutting-edge technical acumen and very creative solutions to our problems. They were real game-changers.”

“We wanted the platform to retrain its models in response to new data and improve its recommendations with more information. Normally this would be a manual process but Google Cloud ML Engine lets the models do this automatically.”

—Kimoon Kim, Lead Solution Architect and Data Engineer, Siatik

The proof of concept was successful, with GCP outperforming the existing infrastructure in terms of how it handled compute demands, databases, and storage.

“It’s the speed of GCP that really impresses us,” says Avsharn. PPS saw that GCP wasn’t just an opportunity to migrate its existing infrastructure to the cloud. With Siatik’s help, it redesigned its monolithic core architecture to one based around microservices using Google Kubernetes Engine (GKE). For data processing and storage, Cloud Dataflow and Cloud Datastore proved invaluable, while Stackdriver helped the IT team stay on top of logging and monitoring the system.

“Google Cloud makes migrations very easy,” says Brett St. Clair, CEO at Siatik. “It takes care of all the hard work with configurations and replications, so when we switch the machines on, everything is ready and working.”

The ease with which PPS migrated to GCP means that it can now tackle strategic goals much more quickly than before. The most ambitious of these is an AI-powered product recommendation platform. Information is collected from customers who opt in at a defined point in their journey, this database is queried using BigQuery, and the information is fed into the platform. The AI model then calculates the most appropriate products for each member, according to their personal history.

“Most of the product recommendation engines out there are based on clustering, where you’re offered products based on your peer groups,” explains Avsharn. “For the first time, we can make recommendations to members based on their individual preferences and historical behavior. That’s really powerful for us.”

Siatik helped PPS use TensorFlow and Cloud Machine Learning Engine to build the AI platform. For the engineers, these easy-to-use tools helped speed up the process considerably, allowing them to host the models locally without any fuss. Previously, it took one to three months to manually build the model and match an offer to a customer. With the AI platform, a match takes just a few minutes. Cloud ML Engine, in particular, helped the platform adapt to new information on the fly and easily make adjustments to its hyperparameters, that is, preset variables which define the model-training process.

“We wanted the platform to retrain its models in response to new data and improve its recommendations with more information,” says Kimoon Kim, Lead Solution Architect and Data Engineer at Siatik. “Normally this would be a manual process but Google Cloud ML Engine lets the models do this automatically.”

“Google Cloud helped us cancel out a lot of the noise around machine learning and AI. We don’t have to build new complicated algorithms or hire huge teams of data scientists to benefit. We just bring our data and use the right tools to focus on what’s really important.”

—Avsharn Bachoo, CTO, PPS

Harnessing artificial intelligence for real-world results

PPS deployed its new AI recommendation platform in December, 2018. Just a couple of months later, its impact was clear. “In around eight weeks, we saw a 5 percent growth in sales,” says Avsharn. “It’s been a direct result of building our recommendation platform with Google Cloud. We can offer the right products to the right members.”

For developers and engineers at PPS, working with Google Cloud gives them access to high performance technology and automation options with GKE. As a result, the infrastructure runs 70 percent faster than before with fewer cores and less memory. Developers can also work in mature testing environments, and for the first time, are able to build pre-production environments, leading to better quality products. More strategically, moving to a serverless, cloud-based infrastructure has helped PPS take control of its budget, moving away from intermittent, large capital spends to more manageable, project-to-project flows of operational expenditure. The company expects to see savings of around 50 percent, or $695,000.

“We have a lot more flexibility with our resources thanks to Google Cloud,” says Avsharn. “When we have a new idea, we don’t have to outlay new capital such as servers before we can even start working on it. We just spin up instances when we want and spin them back down when we’re done.”

With the AI platform deployed and working well, PPS is already looking at ways to improve it, including real-time updates and further automation. Soon, the company will integrate the platform with more sales campaigns for more effective targeting to boost sales even further. Meanwhile, it’s also experimenting with machine learning to spot patterns in data at scale for fraud analytics and risk assessment.

For PPS, working with Google Cloud has helped it transform quickly and effectively from disrupted to disruptor. The company is now looking to gain the same transformative effects by implementing G Suite for increased productivity and collaboration.

“Google Cloud helped us cancel out a lot of the noise around machine learning and AI,” says Avsharn. “We don’t have to build new complicated algorithms or hire huge teams of data scientists to benefit. We just bring our data and use the right tools to focus on what’s really important.”