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Predictive Model Built on Google Cloud Helps You Get a 7-day Mosquito Forecast Report!

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Google Cloud partnered with pest control brand, OFF to build a publicly available predictive model to determine when and where mosquito populations are thriving across the nation to prevent bites and control diseases like Zika, Malaria and more!

Mosquitoes aren’t just the peskiest creatures on Earth; they infect more than 700 million people a year with dangerous diseases like Zika, Malaria, Dengue Fever, and Yellow Fever. Prevention is the best protection, and stopping mosquito bites before they happen is a critical step.

SC Johnson—a leading developer and manufacturer of pest control products, consumer packaged goods, and other professional products—has an outsized impact in reducing the transmission of mosquito-borne diseases. That’s why Google Cloud was honored to team up with one of the company’s leading pest control brands, OFF!®, to develop a new publicly available, predictive model of when and where mosquito populations are emerging nationwide.

As the planet warms and weather changes, OFF! noticed month-to-month and year-to-year fluctuations in consumer habits at a regional level, due to changes in mosquito populations. Because of these rapid changes, it’s difficult for people to know when to protect themselves. The OFF!Cast Mosquito Forecast™, built on Google Cloud and available today, will predict mosquito outbreaks across the United States, helping communities protect themselves from both the nuisance of mosquitoes and the dangers of mosquito-borne diseases—with the goal of expanding to other markets, like Brazil and Mexico, in the near future.

Source: Sadie J. Ryan, Colin J. Carlson, Erin A. Mordecai, and Leah R. Johnson

With the OFF!Cast Mosquito Forecast™, anyone can get their local mosquito prediction as easily as a daily weather update. Powered by Google Cloud’s geospatial and data analytics technologies, OFF!Cast Mosquito Forecast is the world’s first public technology platform that predicts and shares mosquito abundance information. By applying data that is informed by the science of mosquito biology, OFF!Cast accurately predicts mosquito behavior and mosquito populations in specific geographical locations.

Starting today, anyone can easily explore OFF!Cast on a desktop or mobile device and get their local seven-day mosquito forecast for any zip code in the continental United States. People can also sign up to receive a weekly forecast. To make this forecasting tool as helpful as possible, OFF! modeled its user interface after popular weather apps, a familiar frame of reference for consumers.

SC Johnon’s OFF!Cast platform gives free, accurate and local seven-day mosquito forecasts for zip codes across the continental United States.

The technology behind the OFF!Cast Mosquito Forecast


To create this first-of-its-kind forecast, OFF! stood up a secure and production-scale Google Cloud Platform environment and tapped into Google Earth Engine, our cloud-based geospatial analysis platform that combines satellite imagery and geospatial data with powerful computing to help people and organizations understand how the planet is changing.

The OFF!Cast Mosquito Forecast is the result of multiple data sources coming together to provide consumers with an accurate view of mosquito activity. First, Google Earth Engine extracts billions of individual weather data points. Then, a scientific algorithm co-developed by the SC Johnson Center for Insect Science and Family Health and Climate Engine experts translates that weather data into relevant mosquito information. Finally, the collected information is put into the model and distilled into a color-coded, seven-day forecast of mosquito populations. The model is applied to the lifecycle of a mosquito, starting from when it lays eggs to when it could bite a human.

The SC Johnson Center for Insect Science and Family Health is one the world’s leading entomology research centers, studying advanced science of insect biology, insect-borne disease prevention and effective product solutions for consumer use. The science behind brands like OFF! is grounded in knowledge from world-class entomologists who have devoted their careers to SC Johnson’s mission of eradicating diseases like Malaria and Zika.

“We are putting the power in consumers’ hands in providing them with a tool to help predict their exposure and prevent mosquito bites,” said Maude Meier, SC Johnson entomologist. “It’s an exciting time to be working in the field of insect science as we find new opportunities to combine science and technology, like Google Earth Engine, to be a force for good in our mission to prevent the spread of insect-borne diseases.”

It takes an ecosystem to battle mosquitos


Over the past decade, academics, scientists and NGOs have used Google Earth Engine and its earth observation data to make meaningful progress on climate research, natural resource protection, carbon emissions reduction and other sustainability goals. It has made it possible for organizations to monitor global forest loss in near real-time and has helped more than 160 countries map and protect freshwater ecosystems. Google Earth Engine is now available in preview with Google Cloud for commercial use.

Our partner, Climate Engine, was a key player in helping make the OFF!Cast Mosquito Forecast a reality. Climate Engine is a scientist-led company that works with Google Cloud and our customers to accelerate and scale the use of Google Earth Engine, in addition to those of Google Cloud Storage and BigQuery, among other tools. With Climate Engine, OFF! integrated insect data from VectorBase, an organization that collects and counts mosquitoes and is funded by the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

The model powering the OFF!Cast Mosquito Forecast combines three inputs—knowledge of a mosquito’s lifecycle, detailed climate data inputs, and mosquito population counts from more than 5,000 locations provided by VectorBase. The model’s accuracy was validated against precise mosquito population data collected over six years from more than 33 million mosquitoes across 141 different species at more than 5,000 unique trapping locations.

A better understanding of entomology, especially things like degree days and how they affect mosquito populations, and helping communities take action is critically important to improving public health. Learn more about OFF!Cast Mosquito Forecast and see here to learn more about Google Earth Engine on Google Cloud.

Case Study

Rubin Observatory Leverages Google Cloud to Power Astronomical Research

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The Vera C. Rubin Observatory launched its the first preview of new Rubin Science Platform (RSP) for an initial cohort of astronomers, powered by Cloud Storage, Google Kubernetes Engine (GKE), and Compute Engine to drive astronomical researches.

This week, the Vera C. Rubin Observatory is launching the first preview of its new Rubin Science Platform (RSP) for an initial cohort of astronomers. The observatory, which is located in Chile but managed by the U.S. National Science Foundation’s NOIRLab in Tucson, AZ and SLAC in California, is jointly funded by the NSF and the U.S. Department of Energy. The platform provides an easy-to-use interface to store and analyze the massive datasets of the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), which will survey a third of the sky each night for ten years, detecting billions of stars and galaxies, and millions of supernovae, variable stars, and small bodies in our Solar System.

The LSST datasets are unprecedented in size and complexity, and will be far too large for scientists to download to their personal computers for analysis. Instead, scientists will use the RSP to process, query, visualize, and analyze the LSST data archives through a mixture of web portal, notebook, and other virtual data analysis services. An initial launch with simulated data, called Data Preview 0, builds on the Rubin Observatory’s three-year partnership with Google to develop an Interim Data Facility (IDF) on Google Cloud to prototype hosting of the massive LSST dataset. This agreement marks the first time a cloud-based data facility has been used for an astronomy application of this magnitude.

Bringing the stars to the cloud

For Data Preview 0, the IDF leverages Cloud StorageGoogle Kubernetes Engine (GKE), and Compute Engine to provide the Rubin Observatory user community access to simulated LSST data in an early version of the RSP. The simulated data were developed over several years by the LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration to imitate five years of an LSST-like survey over 300 square degrees of the sky (about 1,500 times the area of the moon). The resulting images are very realistic: they have the same instrumental characteristics, such as pixel size and sensitivity to photons, that are expected from the Rubin Observatory’s LSST Camera, and they were processed with an early version of the LSST Science Pipelines that will eventually be used to process LSST data. “This will be the first time that these workloads have ever been hosted in a cloud environment. Researchers will have an opportunity to explore an early version of this platform,” says Ranpal Gill, senior manager and head of communications at the Rubin Observatory.

Broadening access for more researchers

Over 200 scientists and students with Rubin Observatory data rights were selected to participate in Data Preview 0 from a pool of applicants that represents a wide range of demographic criteria, regions, and experience level. Participants will be supported with resources such as tutorials, seminars, communication channels, and networking opportunities—and they will be free to pursue their own science at their own pace using the data in the RSP. 

“The revolutionary nature of the future LSST dataset requires a commensurately innovative system for data access and analysis paired with robust support for scientists,” says Melissa Graham, lead community scientist for the Rubin Observatory and research scientist in the astronomy department at the University of Washington. “I’m personally excited to enhance my own skills by using the RSP’s tools for big data analysis, while also helping others to learn and to pursue their LSST-related science goals during Data Preview 0.” 

At the same time, the fact that the RSP is hosted in the cloud provides researchers at smaller institutions access to state-of-the-art astronomy infrastructure that is comparable to that of the largest national research centers.

The launch benefits the observatory too: the development team can learn what researchers are interested in while also testing and debugging the platform. Graham says that “the platform is still in active development so researchers using it will be able to follow along in the progress, and provide feedback on ways that we can optimize the development of the tools.”

Next steps

The LSST aims to begin the ten-year survey in 2023-24 and expects it to include 500 petabytes of data. Through the cloud, Google aims to help make this extraordinary project scalable and accessible to researchers everywhere. To learn more about Data Preview 0, watch this video.


Want to ramp up your own research in the cloud? We offer research credits to academics using Google Cloud for qualifying projects in eligible countries. You can find our application form on Google Cloud’s website or contact our sales team.

Case Study

How OnlineSales.ai and Google Cloud Helped TATA 1mg Increase Ad Revenue by 700%

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Learn how TATA 1mg achieved a remarkable 700% growth in ad revenue through its partnership with OnlineSales.ai and Google Cloud. Discover the key strategies they used and the lessons other businesses can learn from their success.

Editor’s note: We invited partners from across our retail ecosystem to share stories, best practices, and tips and tricks on how they are helping retailers transform during a time that continues to see tremendous change. This original blog post was published by OnlineSales.ai. Please enjoy this updated entry from our partner.

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Tata’s online healthcare entity, Tata 1mg, aims to revolutionize how a consumer finds the right healthcare professional for their needs. The platform offers e-pharmacy services, diagnostics, and health content and has more than 200,000 active brands in its rapidly expanding list of suppliers, sellers and manufacturers. Several of these brands would need regular involvement from the marketplace team in order to set up and run ad campaigns. As one of the largest platforms, Tata 1mg approached OnlineSales.ai to address their growing needs for an efficient Retail Media Monetisation suite to help scale up their existing monetisation efforts. 

Tata 1mg needed more data-driven insights and customizability for their monetisation efforts

Tata 1mg saw several challenges that they needed to address.

  1. Manual effort: Tata 1mg marketplace team’s monetization process was largely manual and required heavy time and resource investment to activate advertisers, which subsequently ate into their overall ad revenues.
  2. Non-scalable framework: Given the fast-growing number of advertisers on their marketplace – well into the hundreds of thousands – it became increasingly clear that their existing monetization framework was not scalable.
  3. Inadequate reporting & analytics: The existing framework facilitated only simple reporting, and brands were not able to draw the deep insights they needed to make data-led decisions and refine their advertising ROIs.
  4. Steep learning curve: Several brands lacked dedicated advertising experts who could bring the experience and skills needed to plan successful ad campaigns and optimize budgets. The involved learning curve led to increased advertiser-churn.
  5. Lack of personalized offerings: The manual nature of Tata 1mg’s monetization framework left little room for customizability, and account managers could offer very little in terms of tailored ad-buying experiences to different types of advertisers.

All of these issues led to regular revenue leakage. Tata 1mg realized the need for a central platform that addressed the above-mentioned issues and would also be able to cater to new ad channels and the requirements thereof. Developing such a solution in house was evaluated, but was found to be expensive and would require a lot of time to build.

OnlineSales.ai’s AI/ML-powered solution on Google Cloud offered the automation and flexibility to support modern omnichannel advertising needs

Therefore, Tata 1mg looked to OnlineSales.ai Monetize, an AI/ML-powered retail media monetisation suite on Google Cloud, to help address their needs for a cloud-based monetisation platform that offered the flexibility to support omnichannel advertising models, had automation built in to reduce manual tasks, provided detailed intelligence and analytics, and delivered quick, reliable scalability.

  1. White labeled self-serve platform: OnlineSales.ai’s retail media platform was implemented within a short 4 weeks. After thorough testing and implementation, the platform was successfully launched, and enabled sellers to run ads on a fully self-serve platform. This required zero involvement from the Tata team.
  2. Unified omni channel buying: The team at OnlineSales.ai worked closely with the platform’s core teams to activate and mobilize various advertising products through a self-serve platform, while simultaneously addressing any unique requirements they had.
  3. Omnichannel analytics with AI-led suggestions: Sellers are now also able to generate detailed reports that provide them critical insights into campaigns, and help them make better use of their budgets – enhancing their experience and interest in advertising on the platform.
  4. Personalized buying experiences: The tailored UX offered by OnlineSales.ai’s Monetize helped Tata engage brands of all levels in technical aptitude to use the platform easily. This also allowed admins to configure what types of inventories were available to different brands or advertiser segments.

OnlineSales.ai makes use of Google Cloud Dataflow to facilitate computations on real-time streaming. Microservices are deployed on the Google Kubernetes Engine (GKE) platform due to the solution’s well-known ability to handle scale.

In addition, Dataproc is used by the company to run batch processing apps while Cloud Load Balancing helps manage traffic across different regions; all at scale. Onlinesales.ai also uses Memorystore as a database for their ad servers in order to have very low latency, and deploys BigQuery to run analytical applications and facilitate powerful reporting. The bulk of their office applications are deployed on different VMs on Compute Engine, and the company also makes use of Cloud Storage for data storage and transfers between applications.

Learn more about OnlineSales.ai available on the Google Cloud Marketplace.


About OnlineSales.ai

OnlineSales.ai, offers a fully white labeled retail media platform which helps retailers unlock additional revenue by activating advertising real estate on their platform. With its AI/ML-powered solution, OnlineSales.ai allows retailers to turn brands of all sizes into advertisers – at scale. Its self-serve platform simplifies the ad buying process, and enhances outcomes with smart automation, boosting ad retailers’ ad revenues by multiples.

Case Study

Customer Voices: How Firms from Across Industries Leverage Google Cloud

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From powering everyday operations and accelerating application innovation, to providing tools for specific business needs and executing on big ideas, to advancing the security of technology solutions, companies from across industries have leveraged Google Cloud for business benefits.

Companies from across industries have turned to Google Cloud for transforming their business, modernizing their infrastructure, and gleaning intelligence from data. For instance:

  • Johnson & Johnson achieved a 41% increase in search results from high-quality job applicants, significantly improving the company’s ability to quickly hire top talent.
  • Sony Network Communications now processes 10 billion monthly queries faster, which advances data analysis.
  • University College Dublin saw significant 6-figure savings by eliminating legacy hardware, software, and maintenance.

And there are many such examples. Read the collection of case studies to find out how companies from across industries and geographies leveraged Google Cloud for measurable business benefits and for solving complex problems.

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How-to

How Can an IT Manager Get into the Machine Learning Game?

It’s a rare technology forecast that doesn’t include machine learning and AI. But for IT managers these technologies can seem like a world away. This can be worrying for many IT managers who feel like they are being left out of the future.

It needn’t be this way.

One of the largest challenges data scientists and analysts face when undertaking a big data or a machine learning initiative is cleaning and preparing data. Some estimate that data scientists spend up to 80% of their time wrangling with data so that it can be used.

This space is primed for IT managers. With tools like Google Dataprep, IT managers can get into the machine learning and big data space and simultaneously fill a deeply-felt business need.

With tools like Google Dataprep, IT managers can help data teams clean and prepare structured and unstructured data and have it ready for analysis. It’s a browser-based service, with user-friendly drag-and-drop interface. It automatically detects mis-matched data, and predicts transformation you might need.

See how easy it is to use Google Dataprep. Watch this short video.

Case Study

Apache and Dataflow Help with Real-time Indices Processing for Financial Institutions

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Financial institutions need real-time indices for real-time portfolio valuations and benchmarking for other investments companies. With Apache Beam and Dataflow, CME Group and Google Cloud partner to build a real-time index publication pipeline.

Financial institutions across the globe rely on real-time indices to inform real-time portfolio valuations, to provide benchmarks for other investments, and as a basis for passive investment instruments including exchange-traded products (ETPs). This reliance is growing—the index industry dramatically expanded in 2020, reaching revenues of $4.08 billion.

Today, indices are calculated and distributed by index providers with proximity and access to underlying asset data, and with differentiating real-time data processing capabilities. These providers offer subscriptions to real-time feeds of index prices and publish the constituentscalculation methodology, and update frequency for each index.

But as new assets, markets, and data sources have proliferated, financial institutions have developed new requirements. Financial institutions will need to quickly create bespoke and frequently updating indices that represent a specific actual or theoretical portfolio, with its unique constituents and weightings.

In other words, existing index providers and other financial institutions alike will need mechanisms for rapid creation of real-time indices. This blog post’s focus—an index publication pipeline collaboratively developed by CME Group and Google Cloud—is an example of such a mechanism. 

The pipeline closely approximates a particular CME Group index benchmark, but with far greater frequency (in near real time vs. daily) than its official counterpart. It does so by leveraging open-source models such as Apache Beam and cloud-based technologies such as Dataflow, which automatically scales pipelines based on inbound data volume.

cme group.jpg

Machine learning’s production problem

In the past decade, advances in AI toolchains have enabled faster ML model training—and yet a majority of ML models are still not making it into production. As organizations endeavor to develop their ML capabilities, they soon realize that a real-world ML system is comprised of a small amount of ML code embedded in a network of complex and large ancillary components. Each component brings its own development and operational challenges, which are met by bringing a DevOps methodology to the ML system, commonly referred to as MLOps (Machine Learning Operations). To apply ML to business problems, a firm must develop continuous delivery and automation pipelines for ML.

This index publication collaboration is instructive because it demonstrates MLOps best practices for just such a pipeline. One Apache Beam pipeline, suited for operating on both batch and streaming data, extracts insights and packages them for downstream consumers. These consumers may include ML pipelines that, thanks to Apache Beam, require only one code path for inference across batch and real-time data sources. The pipeline is run inside Google Cloud’s Dataflow execution engine, greatly simplifying management of underlying compute resources. 

But the collaboration’s value is not constrained to the ML and data science realm. The project shows that consumers of the Apache Beam pipeline’s insights may also include traditional business intelligence dashboards and reporting tools. It also demonstrates the simplicity and economy of cloud-based time series data such as CME Smart Stream, which is metered by the hour, quickly and automatically provisioned, and consumable at a per-product-code (not per-feed) level.

A focus on real-time processing for financial services

To illustrate the above points, the collaboration applies data engineering and MLOps best practices to a financial services problem. We chose the financial services domain because many financial institutions do not yet have real-time market data processing or MLOps capabilities today, owing to a significant gap on either side of their ML/AI objectives.

Upstream from ML/AI models, financial institutions often experience a data engineering gap. For many financial institutions, batch processes have sufficiently addressed business requirements. As a result, the temporal nature of the time series data underlying these processes is deemphasized. For example, the original purpose of most trade booking systems was to capture a trade and ensure that it found its way to the middle and back office for settlement. It was not built with ML/AI in mind, and its underlying data therefore has not been packaged for consumption by ML/AI processes. 

And downstream from ML/AI models, financial institutions often encounter the aforementioned “ML production problem.”

As ML/AI becomes ever more strategic, these two gaps have left many financial institutions in a conundrum—unable to train ML models for lack of properly packaged time series data, and unmotivated to package time series data for lack of ML models. By recreating a key energy market index using open-source libraries and cloud-based tools, this collaboration demonstrates that for the financial services domain a solution to this conundrum is more accessible today than ever. 

Creating a new index

We modeled our new index after one of CME Group’s many index benchmarks. The particular index expresses the value of a basket of three New York Mercantile Exchange—listed energy futures as a single price. Today, CME Group publishes the index at the end of the day by calculating the settlement price of each underlying futures contract, and then weighing and summing these values. 

While CME Group does not currently publish this index in real time, this collaboration aims to create a near real-time solution leveraging Google Cloud capabilities and CME Group market data delivered via CME Smart Stream. However, in order to publish the value so frequently—every five seconds, with 40-second publish latency—this collaboration’s pipeline has to solve a number of challenges in near-real time.

First, the pipeline must process sparse data from three separate trades feeds in memory to create open-high-low-close (OHLC) bars. More specifically, for five-second windows for each of the three front-month (and sometimes second-month) energy contracts, a bar must be produced. This is solved by using the Apache Beam library to implement functions which, when executed on Dataflow, automatically scale out as input load increases. The bars must be time-aligned across the underlying feeds, which is greatly simplified by Beam’s watermark feature. And for intervals in which no tick data is observed, the Beam library is used to pull forward the last value received, yielding perfect gap-free bars for downstream processors.

Second, the pipeline must calculate volume-weighted average price (VWAP) in near real-time for each front-month contract. The VWAP calculations are also written using the Beam API and executed on Dataflow. Each of these functions requires visibility of each element in the time window, so the functions cannot be arbitrarily scaled out. Nonetheless, this is tractable because their input—OHLC bars—is manageably small.

Third, the pipeline must replicate CME Group’s specific settlement price methodology for each contract. The rules specify whether to use VWAP or another source as price, depending on certain conditions. They also specify how to weigh combinations of monthly contracts during a roll period. The pipeline again encapsulates these requirements as an Apache Beam class, and joins the separate price streams at the correct time boundary.

The end result is a new stream publishing bespoke index data to a Google Cloud Pub/Sub topic thousands of times daily, enabling AI models as well as traditional industry index usage, dashboards, and other tools to assist real-time decision making. The stream’s pipeline uses open source libraries that solve common time series problems out-of-the box, and cloud-based services to reduce the user’s operational and scaling burden.

Beam CME Indexation Biz.jpg
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The importance of cloud-based data

The promise of cloud-based pipeline execution services cannot be realized using legacy data access patterns, which often require market data users to colocate and configure servers and network gear. Such patterns inject expense and scaling complexity into the pipeline’s overall operation, diverting resources from the adoption of MLOps best practices. Instead, a newer, cloud-based access pattern—in which resources subscribe to data streams inexpensively, rapidly and programatically—is necessary.

In 2018, CME Group identified the customer need for accessible futures and options market data. CME Group collaborated with Google Cloud to launch CME Smart Stream, which distributes CME Group’s real-time market data across Google Cloud’s global infrastructure with sub-second latency. Any customer with a CME Group data usage license and a Google Cloud project can consume this data for an hourly usage fee, without purchasing and configuring servers and network gear.

CME Smart Stream met this index pipeline’s requirements for cost-effective, cloud-based streaming data, but this is just one use case. Since the launch of a CME Smart Stream offering on Google Cloud, globally dispersed firms have adopted the solution. For example, Coin Metrics has been using the offering to better inform its customers in the crypto markets. According to CME Group, Smart Stream has become popular with new customers as the fastest, simplest way to access CME Group’s market data from anywhere in the world. 

Adapt the design pattern to your needs

By combining cloud-based data, open-source libraries, and cloud-based pipeline execution services, we created a real-time index using the same constituents as its end-of-day counterpart. Additionally, financial institutions will find this approach addresses many other challenges—real-time valuation of a large set of portfolios; benchmark creation for new ETPs; or external publication of new indices.

Give it a try

This approach is available to help you meet your organization’s needs. Please review our user guide, whose Tutorials section provides a step-by-step guide to constructing a simple Apache Beam pipeline to generate metrics on streaming data in real-time, and connecting a new data source to the pipeline. We’ll be discussing this topic in CME Group’s webinar End-to-End Market Data Solutions in the Cloud at 10:30 am ET on June 16th.

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