For 117 years, the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Forest Service has been a steward of America’s forests, grasslands, and waterways. It directly manages 193 million acres and supports sustainable management on a total of 500 million acres of private, state, and tribal lands. Its impact reaches far beyond even that, offering its research and learning freely to the world.

At Google, we’re big admirers of the Forest Service’s mission. So we were thrilled to learn in 2011 that its scientists were using Google Earth Engine, our planetary-scale platform for Earth Science data and analysis, to aid its research, understanding, and effectiveness. In the years since, Google has worked with the Forest Service to meet its unique requirements for visual information about the planet. Using both historical and current data, the Forest Service built new products, workflows, and tools that help more effectively and sustainably manage our natural resources. The Forest Service also uses Earth Engine and Google Cloud to study the effects of climate change, forest fires, insects and disease, helping them create new insights and strategies.

Besides gaining newfound depths of insight, the Forest Service has also sped up its research dramatically, enabling everyone to do more. Using Google Cloud and Earth Engine, the Forest Service reduced the time it took to analyze 10 years worth of land-cover changes from three months to just one hour, using just 100 lines of code. The agency built new models for coping with change, then mapped these changes over time, in its Landscape Change Monitoring System (LCMS) project.

Emergency responders can now work better on new threats that arise after wildfires, hurricanes, and other natural disasters. Forest health specialists can detect and monitor the impacts of invasive insects, diseases, and drought. More Forest Service personnel can use new tools and products within Earth Engine, thanks to numerous training and outreach sessions within the Forest Service.

Researchers elsewhere also benefited when the Forest Service created new toolkits, and posted them to GitHub for public use. For example, there’s geeViz, a repository of Google Earth Engine Python code modules useful for general data processing, analysis, and visualization.

This is only the start. Recently, the Forest Service started using Google Cloud’s processing and analysis tools for projects like California’s Wildfire and Forest Resilience Action Plan. Forest Service researchers also use Google Cloud to better understand ecological conditions across landscapes in projects like Fuelcast, which provides actionable intelligence for rangeland managers, fire specialists, and growers, and the Scenario Investment Planning Platform for modeling local and national land management scenarios.

The Forest Service is a pioneer in building technology to help us better understand and care for our planet. With more frequent imaging, rich satellite data sets, and sophisticated database and computation systems, we can view and model the Earth as a large-scale dynamic system.

We are honored and excited to respond to the unique set of requirements of the scientists, engineers, rangers, and firefighters of the USFS, and look forward to years of learning about — and better caring for — our most precious resources.

*Image 1: The USDA Forest Service (USFS) Geospatial Technology and Applications Center (GTAC) uses science-based remote sensing methods to characterize vegetation and soil condition after wildland fire events. The results are used to facilitate emergency assessments to support hazard mitigation, to inform post-fire restoration planning, and to support the monitoring of national fire policy effectiveness. GTAC currently conducts these mapping efforts using long-established geospatial workflows. However, GTAC has adapted its post-fire mapping and assessment workflows to work within Google Earth Engine (GEE) to accommodate the needs of other users in the USFS. The spatially and temporally comprehensive coverage of moderate resolution multispectral data sources (e.g., Landsat, Sentinel 2) and analytical power provided by GEE allows users to create geospatial burn severity products quickly and easily. Box 1 shows a pre-fire Sentinel-2 false color composite image. Box 2 shows a post-fire Sentinel-2 false color composite image with the fire scar apparent in reddish brown. Box 3 shows a differenced Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR) image showing the change between the pre- and post-fire images in Boxes 1 and 2. Box 4 shows a thresholded dNBR image of the burned area with four classes of burn severity (unburned to high severity), which is the final output delivered to forest managers.

*Image 2: Leveraging Google Earth Engine (GEE), the USDA Forest Service (USFS) Geospatial Technology and Applications Center (GTAC) and USFS Region 8, developed the Tree Structure Damage Impact Predictive (TreeS-DIP) modeling approach to predict wind damage to trees resulting from large hurricane events and produce spatial products across the landscape. TreeS-DIP results become available within 48 hours following landfall of a large storm event to allow allocation of ground resources to the field for strategic planning and management. Boxes 1 and 3 above show TreeS-DIP modeled outputs with varying data inputs and parameters. Box 2 shows changes in greenness (Normalized Burn Ratio; NBR) that was measured with GEE during the recovery from Hurricane Ida and is shown as a visual comparison to the rapidly available products from TreeS-DIP.

*Image 3: Severe drought conditions across the American West prompted concern about the health and status of pinyon-juniper woodlands, a vast and unique ecosystem. In a cooperative project between the USDA Forest Service (USFS) Geospatial Technology and Applications Center (GTAC) and Forest Health Protection (FHP), Google Earth Engine (GEE) was used to map pinyon pine and juniper mortality across 10 Western US States. The outputs are now being used to plan for future work including on-the-ground efforts, high-resolution imagery acquisitions, aerial surveys, in-depth mortality modeling, and planning for 2022 field season work.

Box 1 contains remote sensing change detection outputs (in white) generated with GEE, showing pinyon-juniper decline across the Southwestern US. Box 2 shows NAIP imagery from 2017 with, with box 3 showing NAIP imagery from 2021. NAIP imagery from these years shows trees changing from healthy and green in 2017 to brown and dying in 2021. In addition, box 2 and box 3 show change detection outputs from Box 1 for a location outside of Flagstaff, AZ converted to polygons (in white). The polygon in box 2 is displayed as a dashed line to serve as a reference, while the solid line in box 3 shows the measured change in 2021. Converting rasters to polygons allows the data to be easily used on tablet computers, as well as the ability to add information and photographs from field visits.

Over 2.14 billion people worldwide are expected to buy online this year, according to Statista. Online retail sales will account for 22% of all purchases by 2023. But in a competitive retail landscape, positive interactions can mean the difference between a sale and an abandoned shopping cart.

One of the leading global marketplaces – Kinguin.net is a haven for gamers. Their bustling ecommerce business conducts over 500,000 new transactions monthly. Users will encounter over 50,000 unique digital products, from video games, gift cards, in-game items to computer software and services. With over 10 million registered users, Kinguin improved their experience by helping users find items quickly and deliver service at scale.

Helping customers find what they want, fast

Because of Kinguin’s high volume of users—both buyers and sellers—and breadth of digital products, browsing and shopping can be challenging. “Customers shop online for choice and convenience, but it can sometimes be overwhelming. We want anyone who shops at Kinguin to find what they are looking for quickly and easily,” says Viktor Romaniuk Wanli, Kinguin CEO and Founder.

Today’s retailers know that creating personalized shopping experiences is crucial for establishing and maintaining customer loyalty. Kinguin discovered their users were getting a rather standard retail experience. They wondered how they could offer them a more tailored, personalized experience.

They knew product recommendations were a great way to personalize experiences because they help customers discover products that match their tastes and preferences. But it’s not that easy to recommend products. Various shifting factors make recommendations much more complex:

• Customer behavior. Understanding customers is tough. How do you recommend something to a cold start user who’s never been to your site before? What happens when their behavior changes?
• Omnichannel context. According to Harvard Business Review, 73% of all customers use many channels when they buy. What happens when they go from desktop to mobile or from social media shopping to a proprietary app?
• Product data challenges. How do you recommend new products within a large catalog of items? What if your product data has sparse labeling or unstructured metadata?

Data wasn’t a problem for Kinguin. They had data orders, history, wishlists, and could collect events based on their platform interactions. It was the machine learning model expertise they lacked. So rather than building their own solution, they determined it was more cost effective for them to find a reliable partner. It was also essential that the solution integrated easily with Kubernetes, which enabled their global network.

With these considerations in mind, they applied for the Google Recommendations AI beta program. Kinguin became the first gaming e-commerce platform in Europe to use Recommendations AI when it launched in 2020.

Pro gamer move: using a fully managed AI service 

Google Recommendations AI uses algorithms to deliver highly personalized suggestions tailored to a customer’s preferences. Google Cloud based these algorithms on the same research that powers models by YouTube search and Google Shopping. Algorithms are always being tuned and adjusted to focus on individuals themselves—not just items.

Many shopping AIs rely on manually provisioning infrastructure and training machine learning models. Instead, Recommendations AI’s deep learning models use item and user metadata to gain insights. It processes Kinguin’s thousands of products at scale, iterating in real time. First, Kinguin pieces together a customer’s history and shopping journey. Then, using Recommendations AI, they can serve up personalized products—even for long-tail products and cold-start users. 

By leveraging internal tools, Kinguin didn’t need to start implementation from scratch. After a few trial sessions with Google Cloud engineers, they got started right away. Due to the fast-paced nature of a marketplace—i.e., price changes, out-of-stock items—Kinguin needed their recommendations to be as close to real time as possible. They used internal event buses to stream events and their product catalog directly to the recommendations API.

Kinguin rolled out in high-traffic areas, including their home page, product page, and category pages. They analyzed heat maps and scroll maps to figure out where to test placements. They also experimented with different recommendation models such as “recently bought together” and “you may like.” Engineers also factored in where they were implementing the models. For example, the “others you might like” model would fit best on the homepage, while “frequently bought together” made sense at checkout.

Understanding how product recommendations influence financials is critical for demonstrating the impact of personalization. Using BigQuery, Kinguin could analyze different cost projection models. BigQuery helped them dig into specific financial data to understand their margins and revenue gains.

Playing to win: enhanced customer experience

Since adopting Recommendations AI, Kinguin has improved both customer experience and satisfaction. Search times have shortened by 20 seconds. Additionally, their average cart value has increased by 5 EUR. Conversion rates have quadrupled since the outset. Click-thru rates have doubled, increasing by 2.16 on product pages and 2.8 times on recommendations pages.

“Google Recommendations AI has helped us evolve our service, increase customer loyalty and satisfaction. It has also contributed to a significant rise in sales,” says Wanli. Kinguin is already thinking about other ways of enhancing user experiences with recommendations. Ideas include their checkout process, other landing pages, and email marketing.

Kinguin’s journey with Google Cloud shows how companies can leverage AI to optimize sales and deliver high-performing, low-latency recommendations to any customer touchpoint. 

Learn more about Recommendations AI and Google Cloud AI and machine learning solutions.